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Shiller

The Coming Bear Market?

Submitted by Optimal Advisor Solutions on September 25th, 2017

This is the best analysis I've read on validity and usefulness of CAPE  **JB**

Sep 21, 2017 ROBERT J. SHILLER

The US stock market today looks a lot like it did at the peak before all 13 previous price collapses. That doesn't mean that a bear market is imminent, but it does amount to a stark warning against complacency.

NEW HAVEN – The US stock market today is characterized by a seemingly unusual combination of very high valuations, following a period of strong earnings growth, and very low volatility. What do these ostensibly conflicting messages imply about the likelihood that the United States is headed toward a bear market?

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